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シミュレーションにより未来を予測するのに確固たる方法論がある訳ではありません. 特に, 要素還元的な手法の適用が困難な, 人間社会や生命現象といった複雑な系の未来予測はいまだ難しいです. 複雑系の未来予測に向け, モデリング方法, 計算手法, 観測データの扱いなど, 総合的な視点から研究を進めています.
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[ 論文 ] Preliminary evaluation of the effect of electro-coalescence with conducting sphere approximation on the formation of warm cumulus clouds using SCALE-SDM version 0.2.5–2.3.0 (2024-09-13)
[ 論文 ] Simulation of marine stratocumulus using the super-droplet method: numerical convergence and comparison to a double-moment bulk scheme using SCALE-SDM 5.2.6-2.3.1 (2024-07-05)
[ 論文 ] Impacts of stochastic coalescence variability on warm rain initiation using Lagrangian microphysics in box and large-eddy simulations (2024-06-28)
[ 論文 ] Overcoming computational challenges to realize meter- to submeter-scale resolution in cloud simulations using the super-droplet method, Matsushima et al., Geosci. Model Dev. (2023-11-02)
[ 論文 ] Response of high-altitude clouds to the galactic cosmic ray cycles in tropical regions, Miyahara et al., Front. Earth Sci. (2023-07-19)
[ 論文 ] Parameterization and Explicit Modeling of Cloud Microphysics: Approaches, Challenges, and Future Directions, Liu et al., AAS (2023-04-06)
[ 論文 ] Simulation of marine stratocumulus using the super-droplet method: Numerical convergence and comparison to a double-moment bulk scheme using SCALE-SDM 5.2.6-2.3.0 [preprint], Yin et al., EGUsphere (2023-03-03)